9 Sep 2026
New scorecard
Harness revalidation
BTC bar = just hold $19,879. Later briefs moved the ALGO lab pick to Donchian 20/12 $18,662. ETH 10/5 is still testing.
Open brief →Updated 2026-09-12 21:40:59 CEST · hypothetical $1,000
Paper scoreboard
Each sleeve is its own linear scale from a $1,000 start. Honest engine only. A high dollar figure is not a lab pick if the rolling test fails.
Honest $1,000 scorecard
Tap a marker. All = three small multiples, each on its own linear $ scale. Scorecard 2026-09-09 13:54:16 CEST.
BTC sleeve
| Strategy | End $ | Vs hold | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donchian-hold 10/15 c2 | $26,148 | beat | Still testing |
| Buy & hold | $19,879 | bar | Just hold |
| Donchian 20/10 | $17,595 | trail | Still testing |
| SMA 5/20 | $12,163 | trail | Dropped |
| Donchian-hold 10/10 | $10,389 | trail | Dropped |
| Donchian 10/5 | $2,598 | trail | Dropped |
Just hold is the Bitcoin bar (dip −76%). The in-sample overlay that beats it still fails the rolling test.
ALGO sleeve
| Strategy | End $ | Vs hold | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donchian 20/12 | $18,662 | beat | Lab pick |
| Donchian 20/10 | $10,663 | beat | Still testing |
| SMA 5/20 | $1,177 | beat | Still testing |
| Donchian 10/5 | $886 | beat | Dropped |
| Buy & hold | $79 | bar | Just hold |
20/12 is the lab pick (11 Sep confirmation, $18,662). 20/10 is the prior 9 Sep cell — still fine, second place. 10/5 beats a crashed hold but loses vs the $1,000 start.
ETH sleeve
| Strategy | End $ | Vs hold | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donchian 10/5 | $31,808 | beat | Still testing |
| Buy & hold | $17,691 | bar | Just hold |
| SMA 5/20 | $13,054 | trail | Dropped |
| Donchian 20/10 | $11,566 | trail | Dropped |
Donchian 10/5 beats hold on the long path but fails the rolling test — still testing, not a lab pick.
Latest beat
Lab pick
ALGO Donchian neighborhood
$1,000 books open — no P&L yet
Published 2026-09-11 08:26:08 CEST
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Lab pick
ALGO Donchian 20/12 confirmed
No single $1,000 figure in this brief — open for tables.
Published 2026-09-11 08:26:08 CEST
Open brief →
Dropped
SOL/LINK Donchian transfer
No single $1,000 figure in this brief — open for tables.
Published 2026-09-12 08:19:39 CEST
Open brief →