Updated 2026-09-12 21:40:59 CEST · hypothetical $1,000
If you put $1,000 this way
$19,879
Just hold Bitcoin
$18,662
ALGO lab pick 20/12
Just hold = own the coin. Lab pick = best paper rule we found so far.
Owning Bitcoin beat the trading overlays. On Algorand, one breakout rule grew the pile; just holding the coin did not. Paper only — not a live account.
What was tested
Simple paper rules vs just holding, on Bitcoin, Algorand, and Ether. Same $1,000 start, fees already subtracted. A decision at today’s close fills at tomorrow’s open — no peeking.
$1,000 → $X vs just hold
BTC & ETH 2019-01-01 → 2026-09-08 · ALGO lab pick 2019-06-21 → 2026-09-09
Just hold Bitcoin
$19,879
Lab pick ALGO breakout rule 20/12
$18,662 vs just hold $79
Still testing ETH breakout rule 10/5
$31,808 vs just hold $17,691
Bitcoin’s deepest dip on just hold was about −76%. The Ether rule failed checks on later time windows, so it is not a lab pick. Nothing here is a live order.